Population of New Jersey in 2021

TRENTON – New Jersey’s population is shrinking, according to new estimates by the Census Bureau released Tuesday, partly due to declining immigration and more deaths, partly due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The state continues to experience population losses in residents moving from state to state, although that net loss has actually decreased by about half from its most recent level.

The state’s population was estimated at 9,267,130 as of July 1, 2021. That’s 12,613 fewer than in mid-2020, the ninth largest loss among the 50 states and Washington, DC, although the percentage loss was higher in 11 states and DC

The estimated population of New Jersey has decreased by 21,864, or 0.24%, from the official 2020 census, reflecting April 1, 2010.

Twenty states lost residents to domestic migration, costing New Jersey an estimated net loss of 39,954 in 15 months, including 27,766 in the 12 months ended July 1. This was partially offset by immigration, which added a net 10,805 population since April 2020.

The net loss from internal migration last year was the smallest in New Jersey in a long time, averaging nearly 53,000 per year over the past decade, from a high of over 69,000 in 2015.

Conversely, New Jersey net gains from international migration previously averaged more than 35,000 per year, but have been declining since mid-2017.

Census Bureau graphic of state population estimates. (Statistics Office)

New Jersey births were down for the third year in a row.

There was a natural decline in 25 states – that is, deaths exceeded births – but New Jersey was not among them. The Census Bureau says there were 119,434 births and 112,573 deaths in the state from April 1, 2020 to July 1, 2021, a natural increase from 6,861 over those 15 months.

However, the number of births in New Jersey was declining for the third year in a row. The number of deaths has increased from the pandemic. The natural increase of 4,697 last year is down from over 27,000 in 2018.

The Census Bureau did not estimate, leading up to the 2020 census, that the population of New Jersey would reach 9,288,994. The state’s population was estimated to be 8,882,371 in mid-2020, the largest gap between the forecast and the actual number in the country.

A total of 17 states and Washington, DC have shrunk over the past year, according to the Census Bureau.

At the national level, the population is estimated to have grown by 392,665, or 0.1%, over the past year, the lowest rate in the country’s history.

Between mid-2020 and mid-2021, the country gained 244,622 inhabitants through net international migration and 148,043 through natural growth, or the number by which births exceeded deaths. It is the first time that immigration has exceeded the natural increase.

Michael Symons is the State House office manager for New Jersey 101.5. Contact him at [email protected].

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